Happy Tuesday lords and kings.
Wild start to the week as virtually all of our picks in the 10 Stocks Trump Might Target Next post from last week went vertical in Monday trading.
Paid subs made out like bandits between that post and the crypto bounce we’ve see since the insane sell off that liquidated over $20B in leverage traders. We’ve crushed PLTR, crypto, AMD, and now a handful of minerals names.
Guys are DMing me on instagram and X asking where I am posting these plays and thoughts. It’s in Arb Letter laid out clearly.
You can’t drag your feet though, the market is shifting drastically each day and hours count when we see the sentiment change rapidly due to politicians, geopolitical developments, or new liquidation cascades.
I’m going to shoot straight today — we are clearly on the verge of crazy town in regards to risk on assets, but we have a few pesky macro factors that keep cucking our sustained momentum higher.
And no it’s not the recent military coup taking place in Madagascar.
It would seem, that more and more people are for some reason confident the Fed can pull off a soft landing. In addition to the expected rate cuts later this month, you have a concentrated and relentless bid on Tech, AI, metals, rare earth minerals, and crypto.
It just simply will not stop. Investors ran back to NVDA and crypto to make levered bets earlier this week.
The persistent road block is people’s interpretation and Trump’s diction in regards to a pending China trade deal. The renewed language from Beijing and the commitment from the US government and Pentagon, were huge drivers of the appreciation we saw across commodities and rare earth metals yesterday and last week.
There is good news for those of you who missed the pump in the last several trading days. Today is fairly red so far.
You can panic and lose your shit like the majority of people, or you can identify the clear pattern we’ve seen this year and take advantage of the blood in the streets.
What do we know for a fact?
We know the Fed was likely a bit late on their rate cuts.
We know Trump 180s on his China position every 24 hours.
We know retail is relentlessly bidding risk assets non stop.
And we know that the crypto dip was aggressively eaten up in hours.
Now is the fork in the road where you need to decide if you want to play it safe and exit markets, or, make sure that you don’t lose upside in the event that this thing just keep propelling higher and higher.
Logic exited the chat long ago and so did fundamental analysis.
Let’s take a look at the game board and decide what likely comes this week.
Markets
Bit of a whipsaw this morning. Nothing really surprises me anymore. The psy ops and emotional trading are an everyday occurrence now.
Predictably we are letting some steam off in trading this morning across equities and crypto. Some of the pumps over the last 72 hours of trading were insane.
The metals, rare earth, and energy plays we spoke about last week and in the Discord went dummy on Friday and Monday:
UAMY 0.00%↑ UUUU 0.00%↑ NB 0.00%↑ NAK 0.00%↑ and others soared