Top Stock Picks for Spring 2026
529: Capturing the Macro Trends to Print Bandos
Morning guys.
The weather is finally turning, sun is coming out, vibes are coming back. It’s cool to be a stoic winter arc size lord during the cold months but I would be lying to you if I said I didn’t immediately feel better now that we have had some spring weather and sun breaking through.
Despite all the madness in the world, there’s some financial opportunities to be had that I want to highlight today.
The timing is great right now.
Fear is at all time highs.
People are convinced nuclear weapons are going to detonate, private credit is about to implode, or we are about to enter a Covid level black swan event. In markets we are seeing some wild volatility across asset classes.
Oil is breaking necks every couple of hours, stocks are whipping back and forth intra day on every new headline, and people seem to either think a recession is imminent or the war in Iran is going to end by month end. Not a whole lot of in between.
And I get it, trust me. Things do seem pretty bizarre at the moment.
Even professional money managers are struggling to navigate the current market environment.
A volatile week driven by the escalating conflict with Iran delivered significant losses to several of the world’s largest hedge funds that are typically known for (or ideally known for) steady, risk-managed returns.
Multi strategy giants including Millennium, Balyasny Asset Management, and Point72 were all hit as sharp moves across equities, commodities, and macro assets whipsawed portfolios.
Some of you are probably down from the highs (especially in crypto) or beat up and bloodied from a wrong pick or two. I know this because attention, engagement, and interaction in online posts across all platforms fluctuates when markets are down and people are taking Ls.
You could almost draw a direct correlation with when the S&P 500/Bitcoin falters.
But don’t let that be you. While it’s pretty much guaranteed to be another Blockbuster year for sketchy geopolitical events and weird societal shifts, markets are going to keep offering us new shots on goal to print money. If you haven’t noticed by now we keep following the same pattern:
Massive fear inducing headlines → new ATHs lol
TACO trades and tariff wars, then more upside
Because of this it is not the time to cut back on what your read, stop researching news names, or stop taking swings for the fences. If you can power through the volatile phases of the market and get some solid wins when most guys are panic selling or capitulating, you’re going to be in a very different position when the dust settles.
We have mid terms on the horizon, crypto quietly consolidating, and equity sectors choosing when they want to ignore the doom headlines and continue to melt higher.
Today we are going to cover some interesting names I think look particularly solid for 2026 across:
Drone warfare / defense tech
AI infrastructure
Energy / nuclear
Industrial / commodities
We’ve had some notable home-runs in Arb Letter when it comes to name picking and I appreciate you guys who have really crushed some of these trades shooting me messages.
It’s great to see.
That’s the entire point of all of this. Provide a little bit of straightforward, pragmatic context to cut out the market noise, take a position, and have your research and time spent get rewarded.
You don’t have to make this stuff super complicated. Our thesis for each of these names is simple: identify the major macro trends shaping the next few years and find companies positioned directly in the path of that demand. I would argue it is getting much easier to actually do this as an everyday investor.
To be fair there is a lot of noise, and I understand why some people fall short.
Modern warfare is rapidly shifting toward autonomous systems and drone technology. Artificial intelligence is driving an enormous (and utterly unprecedented) buildout of data centers and computing infrastructure.
Global electricity demand is rising quickly as countries electrify their economies and power the next generation of AI systems. And at the same time we have industrial reshoring (a big theme today) and geopolitical calamities that are pushing governments to invest heavily in energy, defense, and critical supply chains.
The companies we’re looking at today sit at the intersection of those themes and take advantage of the environment we find ourselves in.
Bottom line, I think they are locks.
With that, let’s get into the first name.
I don’t know about you, but I want some big time runners going into the spring.
“Far more money has been lost by investors trying to anticipate corrections, than lost in the corrections themselves.”
— Peter Lynch