Is a Massive False Flag Coming?
534: The March 2026 Schizo Rant
Good afternoon. Hopefully I caught you winding down the afternoon before Friday.
Do you hear that?
It’s the sound of an incoming Arbitrage Andy schizo rant.
I’d venture to guess that one of the reasons why I have accumulated so many followers over the years is that I rarely have an issue with calling things out for what they are.
It’s been a differentiator for my brand and presence online, even if it has come with the occasional headaches (shadowbanning, reach throttling, lost ad deals, etc.).
If you haven’t figured out that the truth is unpopular by now I don’t know what to tell you brother.
For those new to Arb Letter or my writing/posting style, there’s a good deal of irony when we call something a schizo rant.
The entire point is that the rant or piece is very much NOT schizo (though it might appear to be for normies who have no clue what is going on). It is an attempt to diagnose exactly what is going on behind all of the lies, propaganda, deceit, and distractions present in the world and then prepare accordingly.
I’m not going to take the time before we dive in today to recount the virtually endless list of conspiracy theories or concepts that were ultimately proven to be true after years or decades of demonization.
Whether it’s wars, Covid lies, JFKs death, Epstein theories, government technology, cloud seeding/weather modification, social initiatives, etc. from where we sit in March of 2026, the list just keeps growing and the trend is clear.
The public is almost never told the truth and worse, the gaslighting is enough to literally make certain people go crazy.
And because of recent events there is a unique sense of unease right now if you are paying attention. I said recently I hadn’t really gotten the same feeling I had days before NYC shutdown for Covid, but this week I think that is a safe comparison.
In the last month:
Former President Barack Obama sparked viral interest in February 2026 by stating on a podcast that "aliens are real”
Shortly after President Donald Trump said that he's directing the Pentagon and other government agencies to identify and release files related to extraterrestrials and UFOs because of "tremendous interest”. Polymarket odds of a government disclosure before 2027 sit around 20%
We shared this Monday: Retired Air Force major general William Neil McCasland, who had historical ties to UFO theories/projects (worked at the research lab at Wright-Patterson, some of the Pentagon’s most advanced aerospace research), disappeared without a trace on February 27th. Check out TheSentinel post on Aerospace engineer Monica Jacinto Reza who was the co-inventor of a key U.S. rocket alloy and who worked under McCasland. She vanished while hiking in 2025
Robert Salas, a former U.S. Air Force missile launch officer, said recently on a podcast (after other disclosures) that in 1967 at Malmstrom Air Force Base in Montana, a UFO disabled nuclear missiles saying 10 Minuteman intercontinental ballistic missiles under his supervision suddenly went offline, making them impossible to launch.
Multiple drones were spotted this week near Fort Lesley J. McNair, where Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of War Pete Hegseth are living
The US Government quietly registered the internet domain aliens.gov this week
Security threats, attack attempts, and terror threats are skyrocketing across the US and globe in the aftermath of the attacks on Iran
Air quality alerts were issued across multiple U.S. states, including Oregon, Arizona, and Georgia, as dangerous levels of fine particulate pollution (PM2.5) raised concerns over respiratory and cardiovascular health risks
The U.S. intelligence community’s latest threat assessment makes it clear that the global threat environment is intensifying across multiple fronts at once, including terrorism, cyber attacks, foreign intelligence operations, and infrastructure targeting
It’s true the classic online trope of “something is coming” or “better prepare now” gets exhaustive. Doom posting accounts hungry for engagement and cheap likes, love to tease out major world altering news alerts or events.
However now I am starting to feel something is quite off.
I cannot shake the feeling. It doesn’t mean there’s going to be a cataclysmic event, but I just get the vibe that things are falling out of control again.
Periods of instability, confusion, and rising tension are often followed by attempts to regain control, reframe the narrative, and re anchor public perception. Sometimes that comes through policy.
Sometimes through media. Sometimes through events themselves.
To me that’s the part worth paying attention to.
Because whether you believe in any one theory or not is almost irrelevant, what matters is understanding the environment we’re in, and the types of outcomes that environment tends to produce.
Let’s dive in.
2026 Is Going to be Historical
2026 is already a shit show. War in Iran. Stubborn inflation. The immigration/ICE protests we saw earlier in the year. Housing is in an awful place. AI is accelerating layoffs.
I could (and may at some point) write a novel on some of the topics we will cover today, but for time and clarity’s sake, I am going to attempt to be as direct as possible while incorporating all elements I think are necessary to grasping what’s going on (and what might be happening).
The war in Iran is probably the most important/pivotal event to happen since the instances of political violence in the US (ICE shootings, Charlie Kirk, Trump attempts, BLM/Antifa summer of love) and the Covid pandemic.
And you might say “Andy” why?
I say that because these are events in which normal well adjusted people could sense that we were (and are) close to going off the rails. When there is no going back to “normal”.
Covid reshaped the entire world. I am not going to make this a Covid victory lap, despite being right about virtually every component of it (even those labeled extremists takes at the time). But the reality is, the world is forever changed since covid.
There is no going back. I know many people want to just forget it all, but for those of us that saw it for what it was, that feels too convenient. A cop out of ridiculous proportions based on what happened.
People showed their true colors.
Institutions and governments lied at scale and gaslighted.
Markets were manipulated for profit.
Wealth gaps grew.
Fraud took place.
People took experimental vaccines with little testing.
Children were forced to take these shots. (as you can see that is working out wonderfully).
Doctors got paid to push them.
People were mentally mind f*cked (and many still don’t grasp how this impacted them). They became subservient. They lost autonomy.
People turned on each other like animals, especially the ones who did not conform.
Then it was all over. Move on! Nothing to see here! See you next time!
During and after the pandemic, political violence surged. Had Trump been murdered, it is very likely there would have been widespread violence across the US. After Charlie Kirk was murdered, many people finally realized just how serious the partisan divide was and is inside the United States.
All of these events were turning points (including the mass importation of tens of millions of illegals under Biden).
The War in Iran is no different.
There are multiple ways in which this could spiral out of control and change the world yet again. Some are blindly supporting it.
Most people can’t even articulate why or how we got into this mess, completely unaware of the second and third order consequences that could come out of it. The World Health Organization announced just this week that they are preparing for a possible nuclear incident if Iran war escalates.
At the same time, Russia has openly condemned the strikes and is calling for de escalation while quietly maintaining its strategic ties to Iran, and China is walking a careful line, publicly neutral, but focused on protecting its energy interests and maintaining access to Middle Eastern supply.
Behind the scenes though, both countries appear to be positioning themselves to benefit from instability without being pulled directly into conflict, which only adds another layer of complexity to an already fragile situation for the US.
Joe Kent resigned this week as Director of the National Counterterrorism Center citing his belief that Iran posed no imminent threat and the conflict was unjustified. There was no BIG threat to the US homeland and no evidence of nuclear capability from Iran.
On his first interview since the announcement on Tucker Carlson, Kent gets into some pretty spicy topics including who he thinks sits at the center of this mess and why the US had its hand forced to intervene in Iran.
I highly recommend you watch it, even if you aren’t a fan of Tucker, as it is particularly illuminating.
What stands out to me isn’t any one of these events in isolation, it’s the convergence of all of them at once along with the developments I listed in the introduction section.
When geopolitical tension/wars, domestic security threats, strange aerial activity, and official intelligence warnings all begin stacking on top of each other, it creates an environment that feels eerily familiar to me.
Not identical to past events, but 100% rhyming with them.
And if you’ve been paying attention long enough, you know that these kinds of environments tend to precede something larger, whether that’s a market shock, a geopolitical escalation, or a narrative defining event designed to reset the playing field.
So what might that be?
Let’s break it down.