Arbitrage Andy August Alpha Drop
576: Revised Stock & Asset Picks
Morning guys.
Hope the week is going well.
Been a solid week so far for subs with some of our 2026 picks continuing the march higher despite the continued Iran chop, changing Fed expectations, and non stop calls for some sort of mega bubble to burst.
As we noted in Tuesday’s post there have been some pretty big developments that should impact how you are thinking about markets in the short term and through year end including:
The Situational Awareness scheme Citadel pulled and their little finesse with a surprise rate hike prediction turned bull market cry
Berkshire Hathaway stepping off the sidelines to deploy fat stacks of cash
The CPI print came in yesterday coming in at +0.1% MoM and +3.4% YoY (3.4% expected) with core CPI at +0.2% MoM, +2.5% YoY (2.5% expected) TLDR: inflation cooled slightly, but there was no major downside surprise
The Fed Rate Hike mania has lost a bit of steam in the last several days. You can actually see the exact moment the odds flipped between a hike and no change on Polymarket odds above.
AI spending is still going insane/corporate earnings looks solid
If I zoom out for a minute the setup has actually improved quite a bit.
I wouldn’t say we have the all clear by any means but markets do look constructive compared to some of the fear from the last two weeks or so. I guess the only counterpoint to really consider is Ray Dalio live posting his bender in Ibiza right now.
There’s a good chance he’s just living it up until the collapse.
Today we are going to keep it simple and go to cover some of my highest conviction plays for the rest of 2026.
Don’t worry I have some solid schizo rants on the back burner for you, but I want to make sure folks have some themes and ideas to run with as we approach Fall because I think there are plenty of opportunities.
These are active trades or positions I think present attractive upside given:
New Developments (that I will walk through today)
Their Price (where they are trading)
Macro/Global Catalysts
Institutional Activity/Movement
We’re not abandoning our classic risk on approach (tech/AI/crypto/cash flowing businesses) but between now and the end of the year I want a shot at some new home runs and more importantly, I want to get ahead of the next big thing.
We already covered robotics recently in our post on new themes to watch, but if we sift through some sectors and areas already seeing good growth, there are some diamonds in the rough to watch.
Lets get into it.
*I have to give the obligatory financial disclaimer here, make sure that you are doing your own due diligence on investment choices and what you are buying. This is not formal financial advice but my own commentary, thoughts, and ideas.
Chainlink’s Quiet Expansion
It has been a difficult 2 years for alt coins.
We’ve watched some of our bags get absolutely slaughtered.
However, like Gandalf showing up on the mountain in some sweet glorious light when Helm’s Deep was reaching the darkest hours, our lord and saviour, the magical internet token $LINK, has quietly had one of the more interesting weeks in crypto.
I know what you are thinking: Holy sh*t Andy stop talking about LINK!
I want to brother but every time I lose some faith, something comes across my desk that I simply cannot deny……
Standard Chartered just dropped a pretty interesting report and initiated coverage on Chainlink/LINK with a $200 price target for 2030.
Yes $200 my friends. (which would be a roughly 2,400% increase from $8 or 25 bagger return).
Chartered is arguing that Chainlink is likely to become critical infrastructure for the rapidly growing tokenized asset economy. Something we talked about in our to popular Arb Letter post The Next Generational Wealth Opportunity.
What is the bottom line here and how realistic is $200?